With four days left until the election, polls continue to point to a close race in Georgia.
The polls mostly show Republican Donald Trump with slightly higher levels of support than Democrat Kamala Harris. But nearly every poll is within the margin of error. This trend has been consistent for weeks.
Trump had a significant lead and was also above the 50% threshold in one poll — the Cooperative Election Study, a large monthlong academic in-depth survey focused on elections. The study interviewed nearly 2,700 Georgians, which is several times more than a standard poll. That poll found a 4-percentage-point split between registered voters and likely voters, which helped Trump.
CNN, The Telegraph and Trafalgar had Trump ahead by a percentage point or two. Marist has the race tied. Four of the polls had surveyed the race since late August. Trump improved his standing in two, Harris improved in one and one was unchanged.
The 10-day poll average gives Trump an edge of 49% to 47%, which is the same as last week.
The major election forecasters did not move their picks in the past week. Five rate the race as a toss-up, and one gives Trump a slight edge.
The betting markets continue to be the most confident in a Trump victory. The price for a share predicting a Republican win on Predictit held at 70 cents. A share predicting a Democratic win rose 1 cent to 35 cents. On Polymarket, prices moved toward Trump. A user betting on Trump would win about $14 for wagering $10, compared with $37 on a $10 wager for Harris.
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